3x

Email attribution growth (10% → 30%)

$847K

Email revenue in 4 months

South Mini Splits

southminisplits.com

Partners

Klaviyo®
Shopify Plus®

Industry

Technology

Services

Email Marketing CRM Management

Partners

Klaviyo®
Shopify Plus®

How an HVAC Brand Tripled Email Attribution to 30% in Four Months By Building What Didn't Exist

South Mini Splits sells high-ticket HVAC equipment online. Mini split systems, air handlers, ceiling cassettes, installation kits. Average order value: $2,930. Their customers split into two distinct groups: homeowners researching DIY installations and HVAC contractors buying for client projects. Before May 2025, their email program generated roughly 10% of store revenue. Campaigns were inconsistent—some months had 6 sends, others just 1. No segmentation beyond a basic newsletter list. No suppression strategy. Four template flows that had never been optimized. 100% product-focused content. In four months (May-August 2025), we transformed the program from a basic 10% attribution channel into a 30% revenue engine generating $846,754. Campaign frequency increased 150%. Six new automated flows were built. 24+ segments created to differentiate contractors from homeowners, engagement tiers, and holiday retargeting. Eight suppression segments improved deliverability. Content diversified from product-only to educational, social proof, urgency, and persona-specific messaging. Peak month (July 2025): $164,352 in campaign revenue, with a single Prime Day campaign generating $41,507.

✅ Email attribution: 10% → 30% (3x growth)
✅ Total email revenue: $846,754 in 4 months
✅ Campaign frequency: 3.4/month → 8.5/month (+150%)
✅ Flow revenue: $556,779 (65.8% of total email revenue)
✅ Campaign revenue: $289,974 (34.2% of total)
✅ 6 new automated flows built from scratch
✅ 24+ segments created for targeting
✅ 8+ suppression segments for deliverability
✅ Peak month: July 2025 generated $164,352

01

Challenge

Challenge

South Mini Splits had a functioning ecommerce business generating over $1M/month in total revenue. Email was working—it just wasn't working hard enough. Roughly 10% attribution meant 90% of revenue came from other channels. For a business selling $3,000 average order value products, leaving email revenue on the table meant leaving significant money uncaptured.

The email program before May 2025 looked like this:

Campaign strategy: Inconsistent. Some months had 6 campaigns, others just 1. No planning, no calendar, purely reactive. Campaign names like "olmo," "hyper," "accesories" (misspelled), "ttw"—abbreviated, no context, no preview text. Every campaign was a product announcement sent to the entire newsletter list.

Segmentation: None. One newsletter list. Everyone got the same message whether they were a homeowner researching a DIY install or an HVAC contractor buying equipment for client projects. These are fundamentally different customers with different needs, different technical knowledge, different buying motivations—treated identically.

Flows: Four basic template flows. Email Welcome Series, Browse Abandonment, Abandoned Cart SMS, SMS Welcome. Never customized, never optimized. Running on default settings.

Suppression: Zero. Emails sent to invalid addresses, bots, disengaged profiles. No list hygiene, no deliverability protection.

Content: 100% product and promotion. No educational content, no installation guides, no BTU calculators, no contractor resources. Just "here's a product, buy it."

The result: 10% email attribution. Not broken, but dramatically underperforming what was possible.

The challenge wasn't fixing something that failed. It was building the infrastructure, segmentation, content strategy, and automation that should have existed from the beginning—and doing it fast enough to show measurable impact in a short partnership window.

02

Strategy

Strategy

The strategy required building three things simultaneously: comprehensive flow architecture to automate revenue capture, persona-based segmentation that treats contractors differently than homeowners, and a diversified content strategy beyond product announcements.

Building the Automated Revenue Engine That Didn't Exist

Pre-partnership, South Mini Splits had four basic flows generating some revenue but leaving massive gaps in the customer journey. We rebuilt the entire flow architecture with six new optimized flows built from scratch in the first month:

AM | Pre Purchase Welcome Series (launched May 23)

  • $224,759 in revenue from 89 conversions
  • Email 1 alone: $146,342 from 67 conversions, $126.92 RPR
  • This single flow generated 26.5% of all email revenue during the partnership
  • Became the foundation of the entire program

AM | Abandoned Checkout (launched May 23)

  • $128,815 in revenue from 26 conversions
  • Highest RPR message: $323.39 (recovering high-ticket cart abandons)
  • Critical for $3,000 average order products where abandonment is common

AM | Pre-Arrival | Post Purchase (launched May 23)


  • $32,952 in revenue from 17 conversions
  • $189.47 RPR
  • Drives cross-sells and repeat purchases

AM | Added to Cart (Shopify) (launched June 26)

  • $32,876 in first 2 months
  • $86.23 RPR
  • Captures early-stage abandonment before checkout

AM | Browse Abandonment (launched June 30)


  • $21,326 in revenue from 8 conversions
  • Captures research-phase customers

AM | Site Abandonment (launched May 23)


  • $7,414 in revenue, $375.34 RPR (highest per-recipient revenue)
  • Recovers early exits

Total flow revenue during partnership: $556,779—representing 65.8% of all email revenue. The automated flows did the majority of the work, running 24/7 without manual intervention.

Contractor vs. Homeowner Segmentation

HVAC contractors and homeowners are not the same customer. Contractors are technically knowledgeable, price-aware, buying in volume for client projects. Homeowners are researching, learning, often intimidated by technical specs, doing DIY installations. Sending the same message to both is inefficient.

We built separate segments:

  • Contractors: Targeted with bulk pricing, project efficiency content, callback prevention tips, contractor loyalty messaging
  • Homeowners: Targeted with BTU calculators, pre-installation checklists, "Know Before You Install" guides, DIY system recommendations

Campaign examples:

  • "Contractor Loyalty: Bulk Savings on Your Next Project" → contractors only
  • "BTU Made Easy: Find Your Perfect System Size" → homeowners only
  • "Heatwave Survival Guide for HVAC Pros" → contractors only
  • "DIY Systems On Sale: Install Yourself and Save" → homeowners only

By differentiating messaging, we increased relevance, reduced list fatigue, and improved conversion for both groups.

Multi-Email Holiday Series That Maximize Peak Periods

HVAC equipment has clear demand spikes: summer cooling season (June-August), pre-summer prep (May), fall heating prep (September). We built multi-email series around every major sales opportunity instead of single blasts.

July 4th series (3 emails):

  • July 4th Announcement
  • July 4th Reminder: $26,841 revenue, 3 conversions
  • Last Call: July 4th Sale

Prime Day series (4 emails):

  • Prime Day 1st Promotion: $41,507 revenue, 4 conversions (highest single campaign)
  • Summer Sale continuation: $18,382 revenue
  • Last Call: Prime Day Sale: $9,507 revenue
  • Prime Day Final: $9,108 revenue

HVAC Day series (3 emails):

  • June 22: What is HVAC Tech Day?
  • Final Call: $21,773 revenue, 8 conversions

Labor Day series (3 emails):

  • Labor Day Sale announcement
  • Labor Day Sale Ending: $10,254 revenue

The multi-touch approach meant customers saw the offer multiple times, creating urgency and maximizing conversion during high-intent periods.

Holiday Retargeting from Prior Year Purchasers

We built retargeting segments based on purchase history from the previous year:

  • July 4th 2024 purchasers → July 4th 2025 campaigns
  • Labor Day 2024 purchasers → Labor Day 2025 campaigns
  • BFCM 2024 purchasers → BFCM 2025 campaigns (even though HVAC isn't peak season)

If someone bought a mini split during July 4th sales last year, there's a reasonable probability they're working on another project or know someone who needs equipment this year. Retargeting proven buyers during the same promotional window increases conversion likelihood.

Content Diversification Beyond Product Announcements

Pre-partnership, every campaign was a product announcement. We diversified into six content types:

  1. Holiday/Seasonal Promos: July 4th, Prime Day, Memorial Day, Labor Day, HVAC Day

  1. Educational/Value: BTU Made Easy, Know Before You Install, Pre-Install Playbook, Heat Pumps Explained
  2. Urgency/Price Alerts: Price Increases Coming, R410A stock alerts (regulatory phase-out)
  3. Social Proof/Trust: Why Pros Choose SMS, Customer Stories, Contractor Feedback
  4. Product Launches: Thermostat Launch, Bravo Back in Stock
  5. Contractor-Specific: Contractor Loyalty, Heatwave Survival Guide, Bulk Savings

Educational campaigns like "BTU Made Easy" (40.2% open rate, $12,232 revenue) and "Cool Jobs Done Right" (38.5% open rate, $16,392 revenue) outperformed many promotional sends—proving that value-driven content builds trust and drives sales.

Advanced Suppression Architecture

We implemented 8+ suppression segments to protect deliverability:

  • Bot detection (AM | Bots / AM | NOT Bots)
  • Marked as Spam 3+ Times
  • Hard Bounced
  • False Emails
  • Invalid Emails
  • Does Not Accept Email Marketing
  • Deadweight Removal (30+ emails, never engaged)
  • Recent Purchaser Exclusion (prevent campaign fatigue)

The result: bounce rate dropped from ~1.0% to 0.44% (-56%), delivery rate improved from ~99.0% to 99.5%, and spam complaints stayed controlled at ~0.5 per campaign average.

Results

In four months (May-August 2025), South Mini Splits' email program generated $846,754 in revenue while email attribution tripled from 10% to 30% of total store revenue.

Before vs During Partnership

Case Study Before After Image

Engagement & Deliverability Improvements

Case Study Before After Image

Infrastructure Built

Flows created: 6 new automated flows Segments created: 24+ including:

  • Engagement tiers (30, 60, 90, 120, 150 days)
  • Persona segments (Contractors, Homeowners)
  • Purchase behavior (Buyers all-time, Last 3 months, Predicted next order)
  • Holiday retargeting (July 4th 2024, Labor Day 2024, BFCM 2024)

Suppression segments: 8+ for deliverability protection Content types: 6 diversified formats (vs product-only before)

The Takeaway

South Mini Splits proves that email attribution isn't fixed—it's a function of infrastructure, segmentation, and strategy.

10% email attribution for a high-ticket HVAC brand isn't acceptable when the program lacks basic infrastructure. No segmentation means contractors and homeowners get identical messages. No suppression means deliverability degrades. No educational content means missed trust-building opportunities. Four template flows means gaps in the customer journey go unfilled.

The transformation wasn't about "sending more emails." Campaign frequency did increase 150%, but that's not what tripled attribution. What tripled attribution was building what didn't exist:

Six automated flows that capture every stage of the customer journey, running 24/7, generating $556,779 (65.8% of all email revenue). A welcome series that generates $224,759 with Email 1 alone producing $146,342. Contractor vs. homeowner segmentation that treats different customers differently. Multi-email holiday series instead of single blasts. Educational content that builds trust with DIY homeowners researching installations. Eight suppression segments that protect deliverability.

In four months, email went from 10% to 30% of total revenue. $846,754 generated. Peak month (July) hit $164,352 in campaign revenue alone, with a single Prime Day campaign generating $41,507.

When email attribution is stuck at 10%, the program isn't maxed out—it's under-built. Build the infrastructure, and the attribution follows.

Case Study Before After Image
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